Oh My*. (“But I can succeed as a social philosopher”) The following is from Retraction Watch. UPDATE: OCT 10, 2014** “Curtain up on second act for Dutch fraudster Stapel: College teacher” Diederik Stapel, the Dutch social psychologist and admitted data fabricator — and owner of 54 retraction notices — is now teaching at a college in the town of […]
So I hear that Diederik Stapel is the co-author of a book Fictionfactory (in Dutch,with a novelist, Dautzenberg)[i], and of what they call their “Fictionfactory peepshow”, only it’s been disinvited at the last minute from a Dutch festival on“truth and reality” (due to have run 9/26/14), and all because of Stapel’s involvement. Here’s an excerpt from an article in last […]
Memory lane: Did you ever consider how some of the colorful exchanges among better-known names in statistical foundations could be the basis for high literary drama in the form of one-act plays (even if appreciated by only 3-7 people in the world)? (Think of the expressionist exchange between Bohr and Heisenberg in Michael Frayn’s play […]
Abbreviated Table of Contents: Here are some items for your Saturday-Sunday reading. Link to complete discussion: Mayo, Deborah G. On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle (with discussion & rejoinder). Statistical Science 29 (2014), no. 2, 227-266. Links to individual papers: Mayo, Deborah G. On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle. Statistical […]
Error Statistics Philosophy: Blog Contents By: D. G. Mayo[i] Each month, I will mark (in red) 3 relevant posts (from that month 3 yrs ago) for readers wanting to catch-up or review central themes and discussions. September 2011 (9/3) Frequentists in Exile: The Purpose of this Blog (9/3) Overheard at the comedy hour at the Bayesian retreat (9/4) Drilling Rule #1 […]
Where did you hear this? “Join me, if you will, for a little deep-water drilling, as I cast about on my isle of Elba.” Remember this and this? And this philosophical treatise on “moving blog day”? Oy, did I really write all this stuff? I still see this as my rag-tag amateur blog. I never […]
1.An Assumed Law of Statistical Evidence (law of likelihood) Nearly all critical discussions of frequentist error statistical inference (significance tests, confidence intervals, p- values, power, etc.) start with the following general assumption about the nature of inductive evidence or support: Data x are better evidence for hypothesis H1 than for H0 if x are more probable under H1 than […]
Despite the fact that Fisherians and Neyman-Pearsonians alike regard observed significance levels, or P values, as error probabilities, we occasionally hear allegations (typically from those who are neither Fisherian nor N-P theorists) that P values are actually not error probabilities. The denials tend to go hand in hand with allegations that P values exaggerate evidence against […]
Today is Egon Pearson’s birthday: 11 August 1895-12 June, 1980. E. Pearson rejected some of the familiar tenets that have come to be associated with Neyman and Pearson (N-P) statistical tests, notably the idea that the essential justification for tests resides in a long-run control of rates of erroneous interpretations–what he termed the “behavioral” rationale of tests. In an […]
Memory Lane: August 6, 2013. My initial post on JSM13 (8/5/13) was here. Nate Silver gave his ASA Presidential talk to a packed audience (with questions tweeted[i]). Here are some quick thoughts—based on scribbled notes (from last night). Silver gave a list of 10 points that went something like this (turns out there were 11): […]
